About: Adaptive cyclic exit strategies from lockdown to suppress COVID-19 and allow economic activity

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About: Adaptive cyclic exit strategies from lockdown to suppress COVID-19 and allow economic activity Goto Sponge NotDistinct Permalink

An Entity of Type : schema:ScholarlyArticle, within Data Space : covidontheweb.inria.fr associated with source document(s)

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type	Academic Article research paper schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy	Covid-on-the-Web dataset
title	Adaptive cyclic exit strategies from lockdown to suppress COVID-19 and allow economic activity
Creator	Alon, Uri Bar-On, Yinon Davidovich, Nadav Dudovich, Boaz Karin, Omer »more»
source	MedRxiv
abstract	Many countries have applied lockdown that helped suppress COVID-19, but with devastating economic consequences. Here we propose exit strategies from lockdown that provide sustainable, albeit reduced, economic activity. We use mathematical models to show that a cyclic schedule of 4-day work and 10-day lockdown, or similar variants, can prevent resurgence of the epidemic while providing part-time employment. The cycle pushes the reproduction number R below one by reduced exposure time and by exploiting the virus latent period: those infected during work days reach peak infectiousness during lockdown days. The number of work days can be adapted in response to observations. Throughout, full epidemiological measures need to continue including hygiene, physical distancing, compartmentalization, testing and contact tracing. This conceptual framework, when combined with other interventions to control the epidemic, can offer the beginnings of predictability to many economic sectors.
has issue date	2020-04-07(xsd:dateTime)
bibo:doi	10.1101/2020.04.04.20053579
has license	medrxiv
sha1sum (hex)	f33a7a22553031a97abde837917b4a152bbb535a
schema:url	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.04.20053579
resource representing a document's title	Adaptive cyclic exit strategies from lockdown to suppress COVID-19 and allow economic activity
resource representing a document's body	covid:f33a7a22553031a97abde837917b4a152bbb535a#body_text
is schema:about of	named entity 'extensive' named entity 'epidemic' named entity 'Many' named entity 'physical' named entity 'lockdown' »more»

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