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On COVID-19 Modelling
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covidontheweb.inria.fr
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type
Academic Article
research paper
schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy
Covid-on-the-Web dataset
title
On COVID-19 Modelling
source
ArXiv
abstract
This contribution analyzes the COVID-19 outbreak by comparably simple mathematical and numerical methods. The final goal is to predict the peak of the epidemic outbreak per country with a reliable technique. This is done by an algorithm motivated by standard SIR models and aligned with the standard data provided by the Johns Hopkins University. To reconstruct data for the unregistered Infected, the algorithm uses current values of the infection fatality rate and a data-driven estimation of a specific form of the recovery rate. All other ingredients are data-driven as well. Various examples of predictions are provided for illustration.
has issue date
2020-05-11
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arxiv
sha1sum (hex)
ec9649864624af4669b195c4e95155f8a537dead
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On COVID-19 Modelling
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covid:ec9649864624af4669b195c4e95155f8a537dead#body_text
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named entity 'difference equations'
named entity 'n + 1'
named entity 'epidemic'
named entity 'COVID-19 disease'
named entity 'Germany'
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