About: Chinese and Italian COVID-19 outbreaks can be correctly described by a modified SIRD model

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About: Chinese and Italian COVID-19 outbreaks can be correctly described by a modified SIRD model Goto Sponge NotDistinct Permalink

An Entity of Type : schema:ScholarlyArticle, within Data Space : covidontheweb.inria.fr associated with source document(s)

Attributes	Values
type	Academic Article research paper schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy	Covid-on-the-Web dataset
title	Chinese and Italian COVID-19 outbreaks can be correctly described by a modified SIRD model
Creator	Caccavo, Diego
source	MedRxiv
abstract	The COVID-19 disease is rapidly spreading in whole globe, affecting millions of people and pushing governments to take drastic measures to contain the outbreaks. The understanding of the dynamics of the epidemic is of great interest for the governments and health authorities that are facing COVID-19 outbreaks. The scarce presence of epidemiologic data, due to the still ongoing outbreaks, makes prediction difficult and mainly based on heuristic (fitting) models. However, these models with non-physical based parameters, can only give limited insight in the evolution of the outbreaks. In this work a SIRD compartmental model was developed to describe and predict the evolution of the Chinese and Italian outbreaks. Exploiting the similarities of the measures taken by the governments to contain the virus and of the total population number of Hubei province and Italy, the model was tuned on the Chinese outbreak (almost extinguished) and by perturbation the Italian outbreak was describe and predicted.
has issue date	2020-03-23(xsd:dateTime)
bibo:doi	10.1101/2020.03.19.20039388
has license	medrxiv
sha1sum (hex)	e5fce0e13dab42feebf314c0da7d5e741e4bba29
schema:url	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.19.20039388
resource representing a document's title	Chinese and Italian COVID-19 outbreaks can be correctly described by a modified SIRD model
resource representing a document's body	covid:e5fce0e13dab42feebf314c0da7d5e741e4bba29#body_text
is schema:about of	named entity 'data' named entity 'outbreaks' named entity 'predicted' named entity 'insight' named entity 'comparable' »more»

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