About: Future Evolution of COVID-19 Pandemic in North Carolina: Can We Flatten the Curve?

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An Entity of Type : schema:ScholarlyArticle, within Data Space : covidontheweb.inria.fr associated with source document(s)

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type	Academic Article research paper schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy	Covid-on-the-Web dataset
title	Future Evolution of COVID-19 Pandemic in North Carolina: Can We Flatten the Curve?
Creator	Housni, Omar Rusmevichientong, Paat Sumida, Mika Topaloglu, Huseyin Ziya, Serhan
source	ArXiv
abstract	On June 24th, Governor Cooper announced that North Carolina will not be moving into Phase 3 of its reopening process at least until July 17th. Given the recent increases in daily positive cases and hospitalizations, this decision was not surprising. However, given the political and economic pressures which are forcing the state to reopen, it is not clear what actions will help North Carolina to avoid the worst. We use a compartmentalized model to study the effects of social distancing measures and testing capacity combined with contact tracing on the evolution of the pandemic in North Carolina until the end of the year. We find that going back to restrictions that were in place during Phase 1 will slow down the spread but if the state wants to continue to reopen or at least remain in Phase 2 or Phase 3 it needs to significantly expand its testing and contact tracing capacity. Even under our best-case scenario of high contact tracing effectiveness, the number of contact tracers the state currently employs is inadequate.
has issue date	2020-07-03(xsd:dateTime)
has license	arxiv
sha1sum (hex)	c0fa0d1ddea7d14a4497eb7030c7e93f980b3cf6
resource representing a document's title	Future Evolution of COVID-19 Pandemic in North Carolina: Can We Flatten the Curve?
resource representing a document's body	covid:c0fa0d1ddea7d14a4497eb7030c7e93f980b3cf6#body_text
is schema:about of	named entity 'expand' named entity 'remain' named entity 'moving' named entity 'Pandemic' named entity 'COVID-19' »more»

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