About: Assessing the risk of spread of COVID-19 to the Asia Pacific region

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An Entity of Type : schema:ScholarlyArticle, within Data Space : covidontheweb.inria.fr associated with source document(s)

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type	Academic Article research paper schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy	Covid-on-the-Web dataset
title	Assessing the risk of spread of COVID-19 to the Asia Pacific region
Creator	Mccaw, James Mcvernon, Jodie Shearer, Freya Black, Andrew Geard, Nic »more»
source	MedRxiv
abstract	During the early stages of an emerging disease outbreak, governments are required to make critical decisions on how to respond appropriately, despite limited data being available to inform these decisions. Analytical risk assessment is a valuable approach to guide decision-making on travel restrictions and border measures during the early phase of an outbreak, when transmission is primarily contained within a source country. Here we introduce a modular framework for estimating the importation risk of an emerging disease when the direct travel route is restricted and the risk stems from indirect importation via intermediary countries. This was the situation for Australia in February 2020. The framework was specifically developed to assess the importation risk of COVID-19 into Australia during the early stages of the outbreak from late January to mid-February 2020. The dominant importation risk to Australia at the time of analysis was directly from China, as the only country reporting uncontained transmission. However, with travel restrictions from mainland China to Australia imposed from February 1, our framework was designed to consider the importation risk from China into Australia via potential intermediary countries in the Asia Pacific region. The framework was successfully used to contribute to the evidence base for decisions on border measures and case definitions in the Australian context during the early phase of COVID-19 emergence and is adaptable to other contexts for future outbreak response.
has issue date	2020-04-11(xsd:dateTime)
bibo:doi	10.1101/2020.04.09.20057257
has license	medrxiv
sha1sum (hex)	be90c11bdf2ac3769dd3ceb222bb8906c44188aa
schema:url	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.09.20057257
resource representing a document's title	Assessing the risk of spread of COVID-19 to the Asia Pacific region
resource representing a document's body	covid:be90c11bdf2ac3769dd3ceb222bb8906c44188aa#body_text
is schema:about of	named entity 'measures' named entity 'IS A' named entity 'DECISIONS' named entity 'emerging disease' named entity 'risk assessment' »more»

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