About: A simple arithmetic rationale for crushing the epidemic curve of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) instead of flattening it

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About: A simple arithmetic rationale for crushing the epidemic curve of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) instead of flattening it Goto Sponge NotDistinct Permalink

An Entity of Type : schema:ScholarlyArticle, within Data Space : covidontheweb.inria.fr associated with source document(s)

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type	Academic Article research paper schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy	Covid-on-the-Web dataset
title	A simple arithmetic rationale for crushing the epidemic curve of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) instead of flattening it
Creator	Killeen, Gerry
source	MedRxiv
abstract	Countries with ambitious strategies to %22crush the curve%22 of their epidemic trajectories, to promptly eliminate SARS-CoV-2 transmission at national level, include China, Korea, Japan, Taiwan, New Zealand and Australia. In stark contrast, many of the European countries hit hardest over the last two months, including Italy, Spain, France, Ireland and the United Kingdom, currently appear content to merely %22flatten the curve%22 of their epidemic trajectories so that transmission persists at rates their critical care services can cope with. Here is presented a simple set of arithmetic modelling analyses that explain why preferable crush the %22curve strategies%22, to eliminate transmission within months, would require only a modest amount of additional containment effort when compared to %22flatten the curve%22 strategies that allow epidemics to persist at a steady, supposedly manageable level for years, decades or even indefinitely.
has issue date	2020-05-10(xsd:dateTime)
bibo:doi	10.1101/2020.05.06.20093112
has license	medrxiv
sha1sum (hex)	b4e66c91bb72cb38a9a6ecab3fd162279f5adf85
schema:url	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.06.20093112
resource representing a document's title	A simple arithmetic rationale for crushing the epidemic curve of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) instead of flattening it
resource representing a document's body	covid:b4e66c91bb72cb38a9a6ecab3fd162279f5adf85#body_text
is schema:about of	named entity 'China' named entity 'Ireland' named entity 'epidemic' named entity 'Korea' named entity 'New Zealand' »more»

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