About: Better Strategies for Containing COVID-19 Epidemics --- A Study of 25 Countries via an Extended Varying Coefficient SEIR Model

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About: Better Strategies for Containing COVID-19 Epidemics --- A Study of 25 Countries via an Extended Varying Coefficient SEIR Model Goto Sponge NotDistinct Permalink

An Entity of Type : schema:ScholarlyArticle, within Data Space : covidontheweb.inria.fr associated with source document(s)

Attributes	Values
type	Academic Article research paper schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy	Covid-on-the-Web dataset
title	Better Strategies for Containing COVID-19 Epidemics --- A Study of 25 Countries via an Extended Varying Coefficient SEIR Model
Creator	Wang, Yuqing Zhang, Xinyu Chen, Song Huang, Yaxuan Qiu, Yumou »more»
source	MedRxiv
abstract	We evaluate the effectiveness of COVID-19 control strategies of 25 countries which have endured more than four weeks of community infections. With an extended SEIR model that allows infections in both the exposed and infected states, the key epidemic parameters are estimated from each country's data, which facilitate the evaluation and cross-country comparison. It is found quicker control measures significantly reduce the average reproduction numbers and shorten the time length to infection peaks. If the swift control measures of Korea and China were implemented, average reductions of 88% in the confirmed cases and 80% in deaths would had been attained for the other 23 countries from start to April 10. Effects of earlier or delayed interventions in the US and the UK are experimented which show at least 75% (29%) less infections and deaths can be attained for the US (the UK) under a Five-Day Earlier experiment. The impacts of two removal regimes (Korea and Italy) on the total infection and death tolls on the other countries are compared with the naturally forecast ones, which suggest there are still ample opportunity for countries to reduce the final death numbers by improving the removal process.
has issue date	2020-05-03(xsd:dateTime)
bibo:doi	10.1101/2020.04.27.20081232
has license	medrxiv
sha1sum (hex)	b061e76fa9f2a168b8861fc790318dd191965b8e
schema:url	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.27.20081232
resource representing a document's title	Better Strategies for Containing COVID-19 Epidemics --- A Study of 25 Countries via an Extended Varying Coefficient SEIR Model
resource representing a document's body	covid:b061e76fa9f2a168b8861fc790318dd191965b8e#body_text
is schema:about of	named entity 'forecast' named entity 'preprint' named entity 'sealed' named entity 'strategies' named entity 'domestic' »more»

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