About: Global analysis of the COVID-19 pandemic using simple epidemiological models

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An Entity of Type : schema:ScholarlyArticle, within Data Space : covidontheweb.inria.fr associated with source document(s)

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type	Academic Article research paper schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy	Covid-on-the-Web dataset
title	Global analysis of the COVID-19 pandemic using simple epidemiological models
Creator	Amaro, José Dudouet, Jérémie Orce, José
source	ArXiv
abstract	Several analytical models have been used in this work to describe the evolution of death cases arising from coronavirus (COVID-19). The Death or `D' model is a simplified version of the SIR (susceptible-infected-recovered) model, which assumes no recovery over time, and allows for the transmission-dynamics equations to be solved analytically. The D-model can be extended to describe various focuses of infection, which may account for the original pandemic (D1), the lockdown (D2) and other effects (Dn). The evolution of the COVID-19 pandemic in several countries (China, Spain, Italy, France, UK, Iran, USA and Germany) shows a similar behavior in concord with the D-model trend, characterized by a rapid increase of death cases followed by a slow decline, which are affected by the earliness and efficiency of the lockdown effect. These results are in agreement with more accurate calculations using the extended SIR model with a parametrized solution and more sophisticated Monte Carlo grid simulations, which predict similar trends and indicate a common evolution of the pandemic with universal parameters.
has issue date	2020-05-14(xsd:dateTime)
has license	arxiv
sha1sum (hex)	afb462d1840f57be1e7800c3344b53cedd4a5d1c
resource representing a document's title	Global analysis of the COVID-19 pandemic using simple epidemiological models
resource representing a document's body	covid:afb462d1840f57be1e7800c3344b53cedd4a5d1c#body_text
is schema:about of	named entity 'The Death' named entity 'solution' named entity 'arising' named entity 'Global analysis' named entity 'SLOW' »more»

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