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About:
Using different epidemiological models to modeling the epidemic dynamics in Brazil
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Academic Article
research paper
schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy
Covid-on-the-Web dataset
title
Using different epidemiological models to modeling the epidemic dynamics in Brazil
Creator
Camara E Silva, Lucio
Coutinho, Artur
De Alcantara, Pyrrho
Galdino Da Rocha Pitta, Maira
Ravellys, Lucas
»more»
source
MedRxiv
abstract
In this paper we provide forecasts of the cumulative number of confirmed reported cases in Brazil, specifically in Pernambuco and Ceara, by using the generalized logistic growth model, the Richards growth model and Susceptible, Un-quanrantined infected, Quarantined infected, Confirmed infected (SUQC) phenomenological model. We rely on the Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), root-mean-square error (RMSE) and mean absolute relative error (MARE) to quantify the quality of the models fits during the calibrationAll of these analyzes have been valid until the present date, April 14, 2020. The different models provide insights of our scenario predictions.
has issue date
2020-05-02
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bibo:doi
10.1101/2020.04.29.20085100
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medrxiv
sha1sum (hex)
a015798bce0ff1ec45410ecb6a5ee623813a450f
schema:url
https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.29.20085100
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Using different epidemiological models to modeling the epidemic dynamics in Brazil
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covid:a015798bce0ff1ec45410ecb6a5ee623813a450f#body_text
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schema:about
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named entity 'cases'
named entity 'relative error'
named entity 'Pernambuco'
named entity 'fits'
named entity 'infected'
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