About: Investigating duration and intensity of Covid-19 social-distancing strategies

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An Entity of Type : schema:ScholarlyArticle, within Data Space : covidontheweb.inria.fr associated with source document(s)

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type	Academic Article research paper schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy	Covid-on-the-Web dataset
title	Investigating duration and intensity of Covid-19 social-distancing strategies
Creator	Murphy, T Gruber, C Neuwirth, C
source	MedRxiv
abstract	The exponential character of the recent Covid-19 outbreak requires a change in strategy from containment to mitigation. Meanwhile, most countries apply social distancing with the objective to keep the number of critical cases below the capabilities of the health care system. Due to the novelty and rapid spread of the virus, an a priori assessment of this strategy was not possible. In this study, we present a model-based systems analysis to assess the effectiveness of social distancing measures in terms of intensity and duration of application. Results show a super-linear scaling between intensity (percent contact reduction) and required duration of application to have an added value (lower fatality rate). This holds true for an effective reproduction of R > 1 and is reverted for R < 1. If R is not reduced below 1, secondary effects of required long-term isolation are likely to unravel the added value of disease mitigation. We recommend an extinction strategy implemented by intense countermeasures.
has issue date	2020-04-29(xsd:dateTime)
bibo:doi	10.1101/2020.04.24.20078022
has license	medrxiv
sha1sum (hex)	9f3c081d9cef02ea81a9666a2077639725b65ac8
schema:url	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.24.20078022
resource representing a document's title	Investigating duration and intensity of Covid-19 social-distancing strategies
resource representing a document's body	covid:9f3c081d9cef02ea81a9666a2077639725b65ac8#body_text
is schema:about of	named entity 'social distancing' named entity 'unravel' named entity 'Due' named entity 'duration' named entity 'availability' »more»

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