About: Regression Analysis of COVID-19 Spread in India and its Different States

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An Entity of Type : schema:ScholarlyArticle, within Data Space : covidontheweb.inria.fr associated with source document(s)

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type	Academic Article research paper schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy	Covid-on-the-Web dataset
title	Regression Analysis of COVID-19 Spread in India and its Different States
Creator	Kumar, Ashok Chauhan, Poonam Jamdagni, Pooja
source	MedRxiv
abstract	Linear and polynomial regression model has been used to investigate the COVID-19 outbreak in India and its different states using time series epidemiological data up to 26th May 2020. The data driven analysis shows that the case fatality rate (CFR) for India (3.14% with 95% confidence interval of 3.12% to 3.16%) is half of the global fatality rate, while higher than the CFR of the immediate neighbors i.e. Bangladesh, Pakistan and Sri Lanka. Among Indian states, CFR of West Bengal (8.70%, CI: 8.21-9.18%) and Gujrat (6.05%, CI: 4.90-7.19%) is estimated to be higher than national rate, whereas CFR of Bihar, Odisha and Tamil Nadu is less than 1%. The polynomial regression model for India and its different states is trained with data from 21st March 2020 to 19th May 2020 (60 days). The performance of the model is estimated using test data of 7 days from 20th May 2020 to 26th May 2020 by calculating RMSE and % error. The model is then used to predict number of patients in India and its different states up to 16th June 2020 (21 days). Based on the polynomial regression analysis, Maharashtra, Gujrat, Delhi and Tamil Nadu are continue to remain most affected states in India.
has issue date	2020-05-29(xsd:dateTime)
bibo:doi	10.1101/2020.05.29.20117069
has license	medrxiv
sha1sum (hex)	966e614b9292a0c05f81ca3b2336b8f2fecc9d42
schema:url	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.29.20117069
resource representing a document's title	Regression Analysis of COVID-19 Spread in India and its Different States
resource representing a document's body	covid:966e614b9292a0c05f81ca3b2336b8f2fecc9d42#body_text
is schema:about of	named entity 'fatality rate' named entity 'OUTBREAK' named entity 'TO INVESTIGATE' named entity 'NATIONAL' named entity 'Tamil Nadu' »more»

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