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About:
Predicting the COVID-19 epidemic in Algeria using the SIR model
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covidontheweb.inria.fr
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Academic Article
research paper
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type
Academic Article
research paper
schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy
Covid-on-the-Web dataset
title
Predicting the COVID-19 epidemic in Algeria using the SIR model
Creator
Boudrioua, Abderrahmane
Boudrioua, Mohamed
source
MedRxiv
abstract
The aim of this study is to predict the daily infected cases with Coronavirus (COVID-19) in Algeria. We apply the SIR model on data from 25 February 2020 to 29 April 2020 for the prediction. We estimate the parameters of our model by minimizing the negative log likelihood function using the Nelder- Mead method. We found that the epidemic peak reach July month and the COVID-19 disease will disappear in the month of October. We suggest that Algerian authorities need to implement a strict containment strategy over a long period to effectively reduce the epidemic size.
has issue date
2020-04-29
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)
bibo:doi
10.1101/2020.04.25.20079467
has license
medrxiv
sha1sum (hex)
7f90c6f3c1e95dee62ba10ff233bb4734c0aa45a
schema:url
https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.25.20079467
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Predicting the COVID-19 epidemic in Algeria using the SIR model
resource representing a document's body
covid:7f90c6f3c1e95dee62ba10ff233bb4734c0aa45a#body_text
is
schema:about
of
named entity 'AIM'
named entity 'ALGERIA'
named entity 'INFECTED'
named entity 'DAILY'
named entity 'BDF'
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