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About:
Full lockdown policies in Western Europe countries have no evident impacts on the COVID-19 epidemic.
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covidontheweb.inria.fr
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Academic Article
research paper
schema:ScholarlyArticle
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type
Academic Article
research paper
schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy
Covid-on-the-Web dataset
title
Full lockdown policies in Western Europe countries have no evident impacts on the COVID-19 epidemic.
Creator
Meunier, Thomas
source
MedRxiv
abstract
This phenomenological study assesses the impacts of full lockdown strategies applied in Italy, France, Spain and United Kingdom, on the slowdown of the 2020 COVID-19 outbreak. Comparing the trajectory of the epidemic before and after the lockdown, we find no evidence of any discontinuity in the growth rate, doubling time, and reproduction number trends. Extrapolating pre-lockdown growth rate trends, we provide estimates of the death toll in the absence of any lockdown policies, and show that these strategies might not have saved any life in western Europe. We also show that neighboring countries applying less restrictive social distancing measures (as opposed to police-enforced home containment) experience a very similar time evolution of the epidemic.
has issue date
2020-05-01
(
xsd:dateTime
)
bibo:doi
10.1101/2020.04.24.20078717
has license
medrxiv
sha1sum (hex)
70a1542c28cec4808c91d4e15fc6543ba9433415
schema:url
https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.24.20078717
resource representing a document's title
Full lockdown policies in Western Europe countries have no evident impacts on the COVID-19 epidemic.
resource representing a document's body
covid:70a1542c28cec4808c91d4e15fc6543ba9433415#body_text
is
schema:about
of
named entity 'restrictive'
named entity 'trajectory'
named entity 'phenomenological'
named entity 'lockdown'
named entity 'COUNTRIES'
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