About: Time, Space and Social Interactions: Exit Mechanisms for the Covid-19 Epidemics

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About: Time, Space and Social Interactions: Exit Mechanisms for the Covid-19 Epidemics Goto Sponge NotDistinct Permalink

An Entity of Type : schema:ScholarlyArticle, within Data Space : covidontheweb.inria.fr associated with source document(s)

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type	Academic Article research paper schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy	Covid-on-the-Web dataset
title	Time, Space and Social Interactions: Exit Mechanisms for the Covid-19 Epidemics
Creator	Brugnoli, Emanuele Cinelli, Matteo Flori, Andrea Pammolli, Fabio Quattrociocchi, Walter »more»
source	ArXiv
abstract	We develop a minimalist compartmental model to study the impact of mobility restrictions in Italy during the Covid-19 outbreak. We show that an early lockdown shifts the epidemic in time, while that beyond a critical value of the lockdown strength, the epidemic tend to restart after lifting the restrictions. As a consequence, specific mitigation strategies must be introduced. We characterize the relative importance of different broad strategies by accounting for two fundamental sources of heterogeneity, i.e. geography and demography. First, we consider Italian regions as separate administrative entities, in which social interactions between age classs occur. Due to the sparsity of the inter-regional mobility matrix, once started the epidemics tend to develop independently across areas, justifying the adoption of solutions specific to individual regions or to clusters of regions. Second, we show that social contacts between age classes play a fundamental role and that measures which take into account the age structure of the population can provide a significant contribution to mitigate the rebound effects. Our model is general, and while it does not analyze specific mitigation strategies, it highlights the relevance of some key parameters on non-pharmaceutical mitigation mechanisms for the epidemics.
has issue date	2020-04-09(xsd:dateTime)
has license	arxiv
sha1sum (hex)	6670a0f92e07f5ed8c072d165d6cda5c113b985e
resource representing a document's title	Time, Space and Social Interactions: Exit Mechanisms for the Covid-19 Epidemics
resource representing a document's body	covid:6670a0f92e07f5ed8c072d165d6cda5c113b985e#body_text
is schema:about of	named entity 'mobility' named entity 'restrictions' named entity 'measures' named entity 'MITIGATION' named entity 'EARLY' »more»

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