About: How many COVID-19 cases could have been prevented in the US if its interventions were as effective as those in China and South Korea?

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About: How many COVID-19 cases could have been prevented in the US if its interventions were as effective as those in China and South Korea? Goto Sponge NotDistinct Permalink

An Entity of Type : schema:ScholarlyArticle, within Data Space : covidontheweb.inria.fr associated with source document(s)

Attributes	Values
type	Academic Article research paper schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy	Covid-on-the-Web dataset
title	How many COVID-19 cases could have been prevented in the US if its interventions were as effective as those in China and South Korea?
Creator	Wang, Ming Liu, Kai Shen, Zhesi Li, Menghui Song, Yukun »more»
source	MedRxiv
abstract	The COVID-19 pandemic has forced governments to take measures to contain the spread of the disease; however, the effects have varied significantly from one country to another contingent on governments' responses. Countries that have flattened their coronavirus curves prove that interventions can bring COVID-19 under control. These achievements hold lessons, such as the strict social distancing and coordinated efforts of all government levels in China and massive testing in South Korea, for other countries battling the coronavirus around the world. In this work, we attempt to estimate how many COVID-19 cases could have been prevented in the United States (US) when compared with the US's actual number of cases assuming that on a certain date, the US took China-like or South Korea-like interventions and that these interventions would have been as effective in the US as in China and South Korea. We found that if that date was at the early stage of the outbreak (March 10), more than 99% (1.15 million) fewer infected cases could be expected by the end of the epidemic. This number decreases to 66.03% and 73.06% fewer infected cases with the China-like scenario and the South Korea-like scenario, respectively, if actions were taken on April 1, highlighting the need to respond quickly and effectively to fight the virus. Furthermore, we found that although interventions in both China and South Korea allowed the COVID-19 outbreak to be managed, the epidemic could still oscillate without strict large-scale lockdown measures, as shown in South Korea. Our results demonstrate that early effective interventions can save considerably more people from infection and provide a worldwide alert regard the need for swift response.
has issue date	2020-05-11(xsd:dateTime)
bibo:doi	10.1101/2020.05.06.20092981
has license	medrxiv
sha1sum (hex)	64d496c59f57f9d40e2d27fca33ea107799a4a71
schema:url	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.06.20092981
resource representing a document's title	How many COVID-19 cases could have been prevented in the US if its interventions were as effective as those in China and South Korea?
resource representing a document's body	covid:64d496c59f57f9d40e2d27fca33ea107799a4a71#body_text
is schema:about of	named entity 'South' named entity 'pandemic' named entity 'cases' named entity 'effectively' named entity 'actual' »more»

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