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About:
Optimal control of an SIR epidemic through finite-time non-pharmaceutical intervention
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Academic Article
research paper
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Covid-on-the-Web dataset
title
Optimal control of an SIR epidemic through finite-time non-pharmaceutical intervention
Creator
Ketcheson, David
source
MedRxiv
abstract
We consider the problem of controlling an SIR-model epidemic by temporarily reducing the rate of contact within a population. The control takes the form of a multiplicative reduction in the contact rate of infectious individuals. The control is allowed to be applied only over a finite time interval, while the objective is to minimize the total number of individuals infected in the long-time limit, subject to some cost function for the control. We first consider the no-cost scenario and analytically determine the optimal control and solution. We then study solutions when a cost of intervention is included, as well as a cost associated with overwhelming the available medical resources. Examples are studied through the numerical solution of the associated Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation. Finally, we provide some examples related directly to the current pandemic.
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2020-05-09
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bibo:doi
10.1101/2020.05.05.20091439
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medrxiv
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60b39342bba3246e04aeb5cd0636e88378c95861
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https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.05.20091439
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Optimal control of an SIR epidemic through finite-time non-pharmaceutical intervention
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covid:60b39342bba3246e04aeb5cd0636e88378c95861#body_text
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named entity 'cost'
named entity 'total'
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