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About:
Estimation of Transmission Potential and Severity of COVID-19 in Romania and Pakistan
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An Entity of Type :
schema:ScholarlyArticle
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covidontheweb.inria.fr
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Type:
Academic Article
research paper
schema:ScholarlyArticle
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type
Academic Article
research paper
schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy
Covid-on-the-Web dataset
title
Estimation of Transmission Potential and Severity of COVID-19 in Romania and Pakistan
Creator
Baleanu, Dumitru
Awan, Aziz
Hussain, Mureed
Hussain, Takasar
Ozair, Muhammad
source
MedRxiv
abstract
During the outbreak of an epidemic, it is of immense interest to monitor the effects of containment measures and forecast of outbreak including epidemic peak. To confront the epidemic, a simple S I R model is used to simulate the number of affected patients of Coronavirus disease in Romania and Pakistan. The model captures the growth in case onsets and the estimated results are almost compatible with the actual reported cases. Through the calibration of parameters, forecast for the appearance of new cases in Romania and Pakistan is reported till the end of this year by analysing the current situation. The constant level of number of patients and time-to-reach this level is also reported through the simulations. The drastic condition is also discussed which may occur if all the preventive restraints are removed.
has issue date
2020-05-08
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xsd:dateTime
)
bibo:doi
10.1101/2020.05.02.20088989
has license
medrxiv
sha1sum (hex)
51c38a0c322bcfe4a804976558a12288c4ba6dbb
schema:url
https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.02.20088989
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Estimation of Transmission Potential and Severity of COVID-19 in Romania and Pakistan
resource representing a document's body
covid:51c38a0c322bcfe4a804976558a12288c4ba6dbb#body_text
is
schema:about
of
named entity 'preventive'
named entity 'Romania'
named entity 'cases'
named entity 'actual'
named entity 'Pakistan'
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