About: Mortality rate and estimate of fraction of undiagnosed COVID-19 cases in the US in March and April 2020

Facets (new session)
Description
Metadata
Settings
- owl:sameAs
- Inference Rule:

About: Mortality rate and estimate of fraction of undiagnosed COVID-19 cases in the US in March and April 2020 Goto Sponge NotDistinct Permalink

An Entity of Type : schema:ScholarlyArticle, within Data Space : covidontheweb.inria.fr associated with source document(s)

Attributes	Values
type	Academic Article research paper schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy	Covid-on-the-Web dataset
title	Mortality rate and estimate of fraction of undiagnosed COVID-19 cases in the US in March and April 2020
Creator	Gao, Ru-Shan Rosenlof, Karen
source	MedRxiv
abstract	We use a simple model to derive a mortality probability distribution for a patient as a function of days since diagnosis (considering diagnoses made between 25 February and 29 March 2020). The peak of the mortality probability is the 13th day after diagnosis. The overall shape and peak location of this probability curve are similar to the onset-to-death probability distribution in a case study using Chinese data. The total mortality probability of a COVID-19 patient in the US diagnosed between 25 February and 29 March is about 21%. We speculate that this high value is caused by severe under-testing of the population to identify all COVID-19 patients. With this probability, and an assumption that the true probability is 2.4%, we estimate that 89% of all SARS-CoV-2 infection cases were not diagnosed during this period. When the same method is applied to data extended to 25 April, we found that the total mortality probability of a patient diagnosed in the US after 1 April is about 6.4%, significantly lower than for the earlier period. We attribute this drop to increasingly available tests. Given the assumption that the true mortality probability is 2.4%, we estimate that 63% of all SARS-CoV-2 infection cases were not diagnosed during this period (1 - 25 April).
has issue date	2020-05-30(xsd:dateTime)
bibo:doi	10.1101/2020.05.28.20116095
has license	medrxiv
sha1sum (hex)	495239daf70afdc81d97d41e4055bd6fee1a90c1
schema:url	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.28.20116095
resource representing a document's title	Mortality rate and estimate of fraction of undiagnosed COVID-19 cases in the US in March and April 2020
resource representing a document's body	covid:495239daf70afdc81d97d41e4055bd6fee1a90c1#body_text
is schema:about of	named entity 'diagnosis' named entity 'DAY' named entity 'USING' named entity 'OVERALL' named entity 'DEATH' »more»

Faceted Search & Find service v1.13.91 as of Mar 24 2020

Alternative Linked Data Documents: Sponger | ODE Content Formats:

RDF

ODATA

Microdata

About

OpenLink Virtuoso version 07.20.3229 as of Jul 10 2020, on Linux (x86_64-pc-linux-gnu), Single-Server Edition (94 GB total memory)
Data on this page belongs to its respective rights holders.
Virtuoso Faceted Browser Copyright © 2009-2025 OpenLink Software