About: Estimating the ascertainment rate of SARS-CoV-2 infection in Wuhan, China: implications for management of the global outbreak

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About: Estimating the ascertainment rate of SARS-CoV-2 infection in Wuhan, China: implications for management of the global outbreak Goto Sponge NotDistinct Permalink

An Entity of Type : schema:ScholarlyArticle, within Data Space : covidontheweb.inria.fr associated with source document(s)

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type	Academic Article research paper schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy	Covid-on-the-Web dataset
title	Estimating the ascertainment rate of SARS-CoV-2 infection in Wuhan, China: implications for management of the global outbreak
Creator	Tsiodras, Sotirios Lytras, Theodore Panagiotakopoulos, Georgios
source	MedRxiv
abstract	We sought to estimate the ascertainment ratio of SARS-CoV-2 infection in Wuhan, China, using a modified Bayesian SEIR model with publicly reported case data. We estimated it at 0.465% (95%CI: 0.464-0.466%), implying that the outbreak in Wuhan was abated by depletion of susceptibles, rather than public health action alone. This suggests a high-transmissibility/low-severity profile for the current pandemic and raises doubt about whether suppression, rather than mitigation, is a feasible goal.
has issue date	2020-03-26(xsd:dateTime)
bibo:doi	10.1101/2020.03.24.20042218
has license	medrxiv
sha1sum (hex)	39b5d3fced2a54878510037943e1a740adeb7804
schema:url	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.24.20042218
resource representing a document's title	Estimating the ascertainment rate of SARS-CoV-2 infection in Wuhan, China: implications for management of the global outbreak
resource representing a document's body	covid:39b5d3fced2a54878510037943e1a740adeb7804#body_text
is schema:about of	named entity 'China' named entity 'abated' covid:arg/39b5d3fced2a54878510037943e1a740adeb7804 named entity 'outbreak' named entity 'Wuhan' »more»

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