About: Can a herd immunity strategy become a viable option against COVID-19? A model-based analysis on social acceptability and feasibility

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About: Can a herd immunity strategy become a viable option against COVID-19? A model-based analysis on social acceptability and feasibility Goto Sponge NotDistinct Permalink

An Entity of Type : schema:ScholarlyArticle, within Data Space : covidontheweb.inria.fr associated with source document(s)

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type	Academic Article research paper schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy	Covid-on-the-Web dataset
title	Can a herd immunity strategy become a viable option against COVID-19? A model-based analysis on social acceptability and feasibility
Creator	Akamatsu, Takashi Mizutani, Daĳiro Nagae, Takeshi Osawa, Minoru Sakai, Takara »more»
source	MedRxiv
abstract	This paper studies the social acceptability and feasibility of %22herd immunity%22 strategies against coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). To this end, we propose a control scheme that aims to develop herd immunity while satisfying the following two basic requirements for a viable policy option. The first requirement is social acceptability: the overall deaths should be minimized for social acceptance. The second is feasibility: the healthcare system should not be overwhelmed to avoid diverse adverse effects. Exploiting the fact that the severity of the disease increases considerably with age, the proposed control scheme protects high-risk individuals that mainly consist of the elderly. The protection of high-risk individuals reduces the average severity of the disease in the unprotected population, thereby substantially reducing mortality and avoiding the collapse of the healthcare system. Social acceptability (in terms of the resulting mortality) and feasibility (in terms of the healthcare system capacity) of the proposed herd immunity strategy are summarized into two respective, easily computable conditions by building on a simple susceptible--infected--recovered (SIR) model. For its parsimony, the proposed framework can provide a rule of thumb that applies to various populations for studying the viability of herd immunity strategies against COVID-19. For Japan, herd immunity may be developed by the considered control scheme if R0 [≤] 2.0 and the severity rates of the disease are 1/10 times smaller than the previously reported value, although as high mortality as seasonal influenza is expected.
has issue date	2020-05-25(xsd:dateTime)
bibo:doi	10.1101/2020.05.19.20107524
has license	medrxiv
sha1sum (hex)	33f4bf0e36badf5ec87786c07754ee47769e05b1
schema:url	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.19.20107524
resource representing a document's title	Can a herd immunity strategy become a viable option against COVID-19? A model-based analysis on social acceptability and feasibility
resource representing a document's body	covid:33f4bf0e36badf5ec87786c07754ee47769e05b1#body_text
is schema:about of	named entity 'basic' named entity 'high' named entity 'populations' named entity 'elderly' named entity 'scheme' »more»

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