About: Predictable county-level estimates of R0 for COVID-19 needed for public health planning in the USA

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About: Predictable county-level estimates of R0 for COVID-19 needed for public health planning in the USA Goto Sponge NotDistinct Permalink

An Entity of Type : schema:ScholarlyArticle, within Data Space : covidontheweb.inria.fr associated with source document(s)

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type	Academic Article research paper schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy	Covid-on-the-Web dataset
title	Predictable county-level estimates of R0 for COVID-19 needed for public health planning in the USA
Creator	Bozzuto, Claudio Ives, Anthony Carpenter, Steve Radeloff, Volker Turner, Monica
source	MedRxiv
abstract	The basic reproduction number, R0, determines the rate of spread of a communicable disease and therefore gives fundamental information needed to plan public health interventions. Estimated R0 values are only useful, however, if they accurately predict the future potential rate of spread. Using mortality records, we estimated the rate of spread of COVID-19 among 160 counties and county-aggregates in the USA. Among-county variance in R0 estimates was explained by four factors: the timing of the county-level outbreak, population size, population density, and spatial location. The high predictability of R0 makes it possible to extend estimates to all counties in the lower 48 States. The predictability also makes the R0 estimates valuable guides for designing long-term public health policies for controlling COVID-19.
has issue date	2020-06-20(xsd:dateTime)
bibo:doi	10.1101/2020.06.18.20134700
has license	medrxiv
sha1sum (hex)	2d5536297959f94f794b5dd1ca6c19bacb271913
schema:url	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.06.18.20134700
resource representing a document's title	Predictable county-level estimates of R0 for COVID-19 needed for public health planning in the USA
resource representing a document's body	covid:2d5536297959f94f794b5dd1ca6c19bacb271913#body_text
is schema:about of	named entity 'predict' named entity 'timing' named entity 'counties' named entity 'estimates' named entity 'policies' »more»

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