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About:
Summer vacation and COVID-19: effects of metropolitan people going to summer provinces
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covidontheweb.inria.fr
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Academic Article
research paper
schema:ScholarlyArticle
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type
Academic Article
research paper
schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy
Covid-on-the-Web dataset
title
Summer vacation and COVID-19: effects of metropolitan people going to summer provinces
Creator
Britton, Tom
Ball, Frank
source
ArXiv
abstract
Many countries are now investigating what the effects of summer vacation might be on the COVID-19 pandemic. Here one particular such question is addressed: what will happen if large numbers of metropolitan people visit a less populated province during the summer vacation? By means of a simple epidemic model, allowing for both short and long-term visitors to the province, it is studied which features are most influential in determining if such summer movements will result in large number of infections among the province population. The method is applied to the island of Gotland off the South East coast of Sweden. It is shown that the amount of mixing between the metropolitan and province groups and the fraction of metropolitan people being infectious upon arrival are most influential. Consequently, minimizing events gathering both the province and metropolitan groups and/or reducing the number of short-term visitors could substantially decrease spreading, as could measures to lower the fraction initially infectious upon arrival.
has issue date
2020-05-31
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arxiv
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2b3a8efba194ad0fbe140d5f3f62a2dff3b66d59
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Summer vacation and COVID-19: effects of metropolitan people going to summer provinces
resource representing a document's body
covid:2b3a8efba194ad0fbe140d5f3f62a2dff3b66d59#body_text
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schema:about
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named entity 'number'
named entity 'visitors'
named entity 'fraction'
named entity 'measures'
named entity 'COVID-19 PANDEMIC'
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