About: How many infections of COVID-19 there will be in the%22Diamond Princess%22-Predicted by a virus transmission model based on the simulation of crowd flow

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About: How many infections of COVID-19 there will be in the%22Diamond Princess%22-Predicted by a virus transmission model based on the simulation of crowd flow Goto Sponge NotDistinct Permalink

An Entity of Type : schema:ScholarlyArticle, within Data Space : covidontheweb.inria.fr associated with source document(s)

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type	Academic Article research paper schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy	Covid-on-the-Web dataset
title	How many infections of COVID-19 there will be in the%22Diamond Princess%22-Predicted by a virus transmission model based on the simulation of crowd flow
Creator	Zhang, Jun Lv, Wei Fang, Zhiming Huang, Nan Huang, Zhongyi »more»
source	ArXiv
abstract	Objectives: Simulate the transmission process of COVID-19 in a cruise ship, and then to judge how many infections there will be in the 3711 people in the%22Diamond Princess%22and analyze measures that could have prevented mass transmission. Methods: Based on the crowd flow model, the virus transmission rule between pedestrians is established, to simulate the spread of the virus caused by the close contact during pedestrians' daily activities on the cruise ship. Measurements and main results: Three types of simulation scenarios are designed, the Basic scenario focus on the process of virus transmission caused by a virus carrier and the effect of the personal protective measure against the virus. The condition that the original virus carriers had disembarked halfway and more and more people strengthen self-protection are considered in the Self-protection scenario, which would comparatively accord with the actual situation of%22Diamond princess%22cruise. Control scenario are set to simulate the effect of taking recommended or mandatory measures on virus transmission Conclusions: There are 850~1009 persons (with large probability) who have been infected with COVID-19 during the voyage of%22Diamond Princess%22. The crowd infection percentage would be controlled effectively if the recommended or mandatory measures can be taken immediately during the alert phase of COVID-19 outbreaks.
has issue date	2020-02-25(xsd:dateTime)
has license	arxiv
sha1sum (hex)	2591cfd4b0205e3e6be88db941f88b8a58a47bf2
resource representing a document's title	How many infections of COVID-19 there will be in the%22Diamond Princess%22-Predicted by a virus transmission model based on the simulation of crowd flow
resource representing a document's body	covid:2591cfd4b0205e3e6be88db941f88b8a58a47bf2#body_text
is schema:about of	named entity 'HAVE' named entity 'Diamond Princess' named entity 'infection' named entity 'virus' named entity 'COVID-19' »more»

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