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About:
Variation in COVID-19 Outbreaks at U.S. State and County Levels
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An Entity of Type :
schema:ScholarlyArticle
, within Data Space :
covidontheweb.inria.fr
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Academic Article
research paper
schema:ScholarlyArticle
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type
Academic Article
research paper
schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy
Covid-on-the-Web dataset
title
Variation in COVID-19 Outbreaks at U.S. State and County Levels
Creator
Darla, ;
Messner, Wolfgang
Payson, Sarah
source
MedRxiv
abstract
Background. The COVID-19 pandemic poses an unprecedented threat to the health and economic prosperity of the world's population. Yet, some countries or regions within a country appear to be affected in different ways. Objectives. This research aims to understand whether the outbreak varies significantly between U.S. states and counties. Methods. A statistical model is estimated using publicly available outbreak data in the U.S., and regional differences are statistically analyzed. Results. There is significant variance in outbreak data between U.S. states and counties. At the state level, the outbreak rate follows a normal distribution with an average relative growth rate of 0.197 (doubling time 3.518 days). But there is a low degree of reliability between state-wide and county-specific data reported (ICC = 0.169, p < 0.001), with a bias of 0.070 (standard deviation 0.062) as shown with a Bland-Altman plot. Conclusions. The results emphasize the need for policy makers to look at the pandemic from the smallest population subdivision possible, so that countermeasures can be implemented, and critical resources provided effectively. Further research is needed to understand the reasons for these regional differences.
has issue date
2020-04-28
(
xsd:dateTime
)
bibo:doi
10.1101/2020.04.23.20076943
has license
medrxiv
sha1sum (hex)
0bbb15a89f51d158810412388d883c644c096aaf
schema:url
https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.23.20076943
resource representing a document's title
Variation in COVID-19 Outbreaks at U.S. State and County Levels
resource representing a document's body
covid:0bbb15a89f51d158810412388d883c644c096aaf#body_text
is
schema:about
of
named entity '27S'
named entity 'COUNTRY'
named entity 'DIFFERENT'
named entity 'AFFECTED'
covid:arg/0bbb15a89f51d158810412388d883c644c096aaf
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